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Liverpool 1st, Amorim must improve Man Utd…

Liverpool have made a fast start to the 2024/25 Premier League, while Manchester United have seriously underperformed – and the xG table shows why.

The Expected Goals (xG) statistic uses a complex algorithm to determine the quality of chances each team has created and conceded this season, giving us a useful tool to measure how good their performances have actually been, regardless of the score.

Under Arne Slot’s leadership, Liverpool have scored more expected goals and conceded the fewest of any Premier League team. This is in direct comparison to United, whose struggles in both boxes are reflected in their low position.

Elsewhere, Fulham are surprisingly second and have six points less than they deserve according to the xG table.

The likes of Chelsea, Manchester City and Tottenham are performing well, but Mikel Arteta might be concerned about Arsenal’s disappointing defensive numbers and Newcastle’s mediocre start reflects their average xG gain.

At the bottom, the three promoted clubs’ problems are no surprise, while Gary O’Neil’s Wolves should be five points ahead of reality based on these stats but would still be deep in a relegation battle.

With data from In short, here are the tables in terms of expected goals, expected goals against and expected points so far this season.

Expected Goals (xG)

1. Liverpool – 20.13
2.Tottenham – 7.30pm
3. Arsenal – 7pm
4.Manchester City – 18.92
5.Chelsea – 18.29
6. Fulham – 17.99
7. Brentford – 17.14
8. Aston Villa – 4.77pm
9. Bournemouth – 4.31pm
10. Westham – 15.85
11. Manchester United – 3.65pm
12. Brighton – 3.45pm
13.Nottingham Forest – 14.19
14. Newcastle – 1.31pm
15.Southampton – 12.84
16. Crystal Palace – 11.09
17. Everton – 10.58
18. Leicester – 10.57
19. Ipswich – 9.76
20. Wolves – 9.24


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Expected Goals Against (xGA)

1. Liverpool – 8.15am
2.Tottenham – 9.69
3. Fulham – 9.69
4.Manchester City – 10.06
5. Nottingham Forest – 11.18
6. Aston Villa – 11.62
7. Arsenal – 12.41
8.Chelsea – 13.19
9. Bournemouth – 1.39pm
10. Brighton – 2pm
11. Brentford – 15.96
12. Crystal Palace – 15.98
13. Newcastle – 16.06
14. Everton – 5.44pm
15.Manchester United – 17.52
16. Wolves – 18.04
17. Westham – 18.14
18.Southampton – 22.53
19. Leicester – 23.22
20. Ipswich – 24.09

Expected Points (xPTS)

1. Liverpool – 20.01
2. Fulham – 18.08
3. Manchester City – 5.52pm
4. Tottenham – 4.44pm
5. Aston Villa – 15.71
6. Bournemouth – 3pm
7.Chelsea – 14.95
8. Arsenal – 2.60pm
9. Brighton – 2.38pm
10. Nottingham Forest – 1.75pm
11.Manchester United – 12.95
12. Brentford – 12.57
13. West Ham – 11.02
14. Newcastle – 10.98
15. Crystal Palace – 9.23
16. Everton – 7.92
17.Southampton – 7.72
18. Wolves – 7.14
19. Leicester – 6.20
20. Ipswich – 5.37

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