UConn vs. Prediction Georgia State: College football odds, picks

Although still overshadowed by the basketball team, UConn’s football program has steadily improved under head coach Jim Mora.

The Huskies are 5-3 this season and have won four of their past five games, with the only loss coming in a fortuitous three-point loss to Wake Forest.

There are three reasons why UConn will likely go bowling this season.

UConn vs. Georgia State Prediction

First, running back Durrell Robinson has exploded out of the backfield.

He has racked up 425 rushing yards and four scores at over 7.5 YPC in his past five games, including a 150-yard, two-touchdown game against Florida Atlantic and a 130-yard, one-touchdown game against Rice.

Second, the Huskies’ secondary has improved dramatically and ranks in the top 40 nationally in Pro Football Focus’ coverage grades, behind top cornerback Jordan Wright’s 4.7 yards per reception on 22 targets.

They have crept up to ninth nationally in EPA per dropback allowed and 12th in success rate allowed.

Finally, the Huskies defense has consistently gotten off the field and led all FBS squads in third- and fourth-down conversion percentage allowed (30%).

Betting on college football?

UConn’s Friday Night Lights opponent, the 2-5 Georgia State Panthers, cannot stop dynamic rushing attacks (ranks below 100th nationally in EPA per Rush and Rush Explosiveness Allowed), and attacks primarily through the air (ranks 16th in Pass Play speed) and boasts the ninth worst third and fourth worst conversion rate in the country (35%).

My numbers project the Huskies to be closer to 8.5-point favorites, but given the schematic matchup, I’m banking on a double-digit win.

THE GAME: UConn -7.5 (-110, DraftKings)

Why trust New York Post betting

Tanner McGrath has been a professional sports handicapper since 2018. He specializes in college sports and baseball and is a diehard fan of the Vermont Catamounts, the Miami Marlins and every underdog in the house. He found himself on the wrong end of the Miami Miracle in 2018, but made amends four years later by hitting a 40/1 long shot over Sandy Alcantara to win the NL Cy Young.