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Polls from Georgia, North Carolina likely find voters with Trump and Harris nearly tied

Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are neck and neck in the vital battleground states of Georgia and North Carolina, according to two new CNN polls conducted by SSRS.

In Georgia, Trump outranks Harris among likely voters, 48% to 47%, while in North Carolina the results are reversed, with Harris leading 48% to Trump’s 47%. The results are within the margin of error in both states.

Trump has won North Carolina twice: in 2016 by almost four percentage points and in 2020 by just over one point. Over the past two decades, former President Barack Obama was the only Democrat to win North Carolina, and in 2008 it was by less than half a point. The Tar Heel State has sixteen electoral college votes.

TRUMP LEADS HARRIS IN GEORGIA 2 WEEKS AFTER ELECTION DAY, POLL Finds

Donald Trump

Former President Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally at the Rocky Mount Event Center in Rocky Mount, North Carolina on Wednesday. According to a new CNN/SSRS poll, Vice President Harris leads with 48% to Trump’s 47% in North Carolina. (AP Photo/Steve Helber)

Trump held a rally in Rocky Mount, North Carolina, on Wednesday afternoon, while Harris made her case in North Carolina’s capital, Raleigh, underscoring how important that state will be in deciding who the next president is. Trump’s running mate, Sen. JD Vance, R-Ohio, is in North Carolina today for a “Gen Z Town Hall.”

The CNN/SSRS North Carolina poll comes after a Fox News poll showed Trump with a 49% to 47% lead among likely voters, while third-party candidates received 4%. The previous Fox News survey of North Carolina voters, released in September, also found that Trump was only slightly favored among likely voters, and Harris was narrowly ahead among registered voters.

Meanwhile, a poll from the Atlanta Journal-Constitution and the University of Georgia last week showed Trump with 47% support in the state, compared to Harris’ 43%. The Peach State also has 16 electoral college votes.

President Biden narrowly trailed Trump in Georgia in 2020, becoming the first Democrat to carry the state in a race for the White House in nearly three decades since former President Bill Clinton in 1992.

The CNN/SSRS polls released Thursday showed that an overwhelming 95% of likely voters in every state now say they have made up their minds about their vote, with more than half of the likely electorate in both Georgia (59%) as North Carolinians (52%) say they have already cast their ballot.

FOX NEWS POLL: TRUMP STILL FOR HARRIS IN NORTH CAROLINA

Kamala Harris speaks at the meeting

Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are neck and neck in the vital battleground states of Georgia and North Carolina, according to two new CNN polls conducted by SSRS. (Brandon Bell/Getty Images)

According to CNN/SSRS polling, Harris has a seven-point margin in Georgia among those who have already voted, and in North Carolina she is ahead by six points.

About two-thirds of Harris supporters in both states say they are voting mainly to support Harris, rather than oppose Trump.

A larger majority of Trump voters in both states — 81% in Georgia and 75% in North Carolina — say their vote is primarily about support for the former president, rather than opposition to Harris.

In North Carolina, Trump leads by seven points among men and Harris by nine points among women. In Georgia, men favor Trump by the same margin, but women are closer to an even split (49% favor Harris, 47% Trump).

Harris also leads among likely black voters in both states by significant margins: 84% to 13% in Georgia and 78% to 19% in North Carolina. The vice president also leads among voters with a college degree: 55% to 39% in Georgia and 53% to 42% in North Carolina, the CNN/SSRS polls show.

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Voting in North Carolina

A man fills out a ballot at a voting booth on May 17, 2022 in Mt. Gilead, North Carolina. (Getty Images)

White graduates were about evenly split in both states: 50% for Harris compared to 47% for Trump in North Carolina, and 48% for Trump in Georgia compared to Harris’ 46%. Trump has a commanding lead, 81% to 15%, among white voters without a college degree in Georgia. He leads that group by a less overwhelming margin, 65% to 31%, in North Carolina.

The White House’s response to Hurricane Helene is poor: 42% of likely voters in Georgia approve of the response, but only 36% of respondents in North Carolina say they approve of the way the Biden administration is handling dealt with the disaster.

In the race for North Carolina governor, Democrat Josh Stein has a significant lead over Republican Mark Robinson, 53% to 37%, among likely voters.

The polls were conducted online and by telephone from October 23 through October 28, surveying 732 voters in Georgia and 750 in North Carolina. The margin of error is 4.7% among likely voters in both states.

Dana Blanton and Paul Steinhauser of Fox News contributed to this report.

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